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Pfizer and Moderna say an Omicron-focused vaccine could be ready in under 100 days. Stocks closed higher to kick off the week as investors digested early data that suggests Omicron may be causing milder illness than initially feared. But it could take weeks for scientists to understand its effects.
The whammy on interest rates came after stocks were already weak in the morning due to concerns about how badly thefast-spreading omicron variantof the coronavirus may hit the global economy. The broader market has been choppy all week and every major index is on track for a weekly loss as investors try to gauge the amount of damage the omicron variant of COVID-19 might inflict on the economy. Wall Street will likely remain jumpy until investors have more information on whether the latest variant is highly contagious and how well current vaccines will hold up. Crude oil prices slid with concerns that a global economy weakened by omicron would burn less fuel.
They are also not research reports and are not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. Any third-party information provided therein does not reflect the views of Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, or any of their subsidiaries or affiliates. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results. As of Dec. 3, the U.S. has identified at least 10 omicron cases across six states, and health officials say community spread is inevitable. President Joe Biden said Dec. 3 that his new pandemic measures should be sufficient to deal with the spread of the new variant.
Stocks Sink As Omicron, Rate Worries Rattle Wall Street
Is off to a “very good start” in its current fiscal quarter, which began in early December, CEO Vivek Sankaran said on a conference call Jan. 11. He attributed the strength in part to demand from people hunkering down and channeling more of their food budget to supermarkets. Big Lots Inc., a discount retailer with more than 1,400 stores in 47 states, cut its quarterly earnings forecast the same day and said the rapid spread of omicron has led to softer traffic and sales trends since early January. On Jan. 11, burger chain Shake Shack Inc. said its operating hours have dropped since the last two weeks of the year due to a “sharp increase” in COVID-19 cases among its staff. “We expect these trends to continue to impact sales,” the company said. Dr. Katherine Poehling, an infectious disease specialist and member of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices,told NBC Newsin January that a cough, congestion, runny nose and fatigue appear to be prominent symptoms with the omicron variant.
#Omicron news have caused moderna and pfizer stocks to bump up. Should we not be critical of these investors and companies who speculate they can profit from another possible wave.
— revpano (@revpano) November 27, 2021
For months, officials described inflation as only “transitory,” but Powell said that word no longer works. In July this year, when the delta variant began spreading rapidly in the U.S., Ackman said in a CNBC interview that it wouldn’t drastically affect economic reopening and people’s behavior—which turned out to be true. He also predicted rising interest rates as the economy https://xcritical.com/ bounces back. Ackman is the founder and CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management. Over the course of the pandemic, he has earned the reputation of sort of a market prophet. Technology companies also rose, but the gains were crimped by a 0.5% drop from Apple after the iPhone maker reportedly warned suppliers that it is seeing weak demand ahead of the holiday season.
And if the VIX dips to 20, 19, or 18, the market makers will have to short those futures. If the VIX continues to drop into expiration tomorrow, then VIX futures could start running into these puts with huge open interest. Because while some stocks were selling off, the ones you’d expect to – airlines, cruise ships, travel stocks – weren’t. The recent sell-offs narrative – the one that the media has been telling since Black Friday – is that the market is selling off because of Omicron. The WHO’s chief scientist said existing vaccines were likely to offer some protection.
More Covid
“You know, I think we feel that amongst friends and familywe are hearing about more infections, I’m seeing more of our employees test positive,” Doron said. The viral spread is taking a toll on economic and market data. U.S. retail sales fell in December by the most in 10 months, missing estimates, Commerce Department figures showed on Friday. Since Dec. 1, the S&P Retail Select Industry Index has fallen 5%, compared with a 3% gain in the broader S&P 500. OPEC and allied oil-producing countries have decided to maintain the amount of oil they pump to the world even as the new omicron variant potentially threatens the economy.
BA.2 has several key mutations, with the most important of those occurring in the spike protein that studs the outside of the virus. Those mutations are shared with the original omicron, but BA.2 also has additional genetic changes not seen in the initial version. Industry stakeholders interested in Monthly P&L participation should Those interested in subscribing to reports should contact their account manager HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee—After falling to roughly US$20.00 in January, gross operating profit for U.S. hotels reached nearly US$59.00 – the highest level in the metric since October 2021, according to STR‘s February 2022P&L datarelease. “More recently with omicron, I think you’re seeing people eating more at home,” Sankaran said. “Many of our suppliers and customers have also reported labor-related impacts due to the ongoing COVID resurgence,” Sherwin-Williams Chief Executive Officer John Morikis said in a statement.
- Across the country there have been reports of barren grocery shelves and stores and restaurants cutting back hours.
- “More recently with omicron, I think you’re seeing people eating more at home,” Sankaran said.
- It’s our first-ever Money Morning LIVE holiday party, and it’s about to be the most profitable one you’ll attend all year.
- One measure of nervousness in the stock market jumped almost 19% Tuesday, nearing its level from Friday, when it touched its highest point since March.
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Benchmark U.S. crude dropped 5.4% and touched its lowest level in three months. An end to the purchases would open the door for the Fed to raise short-term interest rates from their record low of nearly zero. That in turn would dilute a major propellant that’s sent stocks to record heights and swatted away concerns about an overly pricey market. As investors moved up their expectations for the Fed’s first rate hike following Powell’s remarks, yields on short-term Treasurys rose.
Coming Up This Week
Some of the same researchers released separate findings Dec. 2 that suggest the omicron variant can partly dodge immunity gained from prior infection. It’s still unclear if or to what degree omicron may evade current vaccine protection. The analysis, published by preprint server medRxiv, examined about 2.8 million COVID-19 samples in South Africa — 35,670 of which were suspected reinfections. The “stealth omicron” subvariant has only been the dominant strain of COVID in the United States for less than a month, but the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now believes that it is responsible for more than 80% of new cases of the virus.
I'm an ER nurse who's comforted COVID patients as they beg to live. The last minute fear porn is reaching a crescendo, as profit-centric media do all they can to help push out as many experimental “vaccines” as possible before Omicron burns out. Humanity? Not from these people!
— CraigP (@patriot555) January 19, 2022
The omicron variant appears to spread more than twice as quickly as delta, according to preliminary findings cited by The New York Times. In New England, the CDC says that 90.3% of cases are believed to be linked to the subvariant. Three weeks ago, the BA.2 subvariant made up only about half of cases, according to the department’s estimates.
Enter: Plan Omicron
The latest coronavirus variant has led countries to impose barriers to travel and stricter restrictions on business and people. Concerns about global restrictions potentially crimping economic growth butted up against concerns about rising inflation this week. The persistence of rising inflation has prompted the Federal Reserve to consider withdrawing stimulus measures sooner than expected. Studies suggest the omicron variant causes less-severe disease than earlier strains of the coronavirus, even among unvaccinated people. But it seems to spread more easily and can evade immunity acquired from vaccines and natural infection, leading to a record number of new COVID cases. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends a five-day isolation period for anyone who tests positive.
Longer-term Treasurys usually offer higher yields than shorter-term Treasurys, in part to make up for the increased risk that future inflation may eat into their returns. Much is left to be determined about the variant, including how much it may slow already gummed-up supply chains or scare people away from stores. That uncertainty has sent Wall Street through jagged up-and-down jolts as investors struggle to handicap how much economic damage omicron will ultimately do.
Bill Ackman Says Omicron Variant Could Be Good News For Stock Market
One measure of nervousness in the stock market jumped almost 19% Tuesday, nearing its level from Friday, when it touched its highest point since March. But it’s a possibility… and it’s one I’m keeping a close eye on tomorrow, especially if the market continues to get ahead of steam today. It’s just expanding and contracting… expanding and contracting. And with the rally we’re seeing today, who knows what the VIX could do – we could see a major drop from here, and actually get the Santa Claus rally everyone’s been hoping for. The market is actually up today, which is just further confirmation of my theory that Omicron isn’t the major threat to the markets that the media said it was. Pfizer and BioNTech, Moderna, and J&J have already started working on Omicron-specific shots, in addition to testing the protection of existing ones.
Business owners now are starting to figure out how much that’s going to cost them on their financial results. A 10-year Treasury is still offering more in yield than a two-year Treasury, but the gap narrowed sharply on Tuesday. It’s our first-ever Money Morning LIVE holiday party, and it’s about to be the most profitable one you’ll attend all year. Traders are long these puts – but market makers are short them.
“February GOPPAR was roughly 77% of the 2019 comparable, but independents (108%), luxury (94%) and midscale (88%) chains were far above the national average. The upper upscale (67%) and upscale (70%) segments are where the largest deficits persisted. “With the resurgence of Covid-19 infections from the omicron variant, we are experiencing a softening of sales which we attribute to growing public concern which we have reflected in our updated guidance,” Destination XL said in a statement. Southeast Asia’s largest ride-hailing company Grab fell 22.8% in its market debut Thursday, following a $40 billion merger in a special purpose acquisition company deal.
Most vaccinated people either have no symptoms or exhibit very mild symptoms, according to health officials, and the virus rarely results in hospitalization or death for those individuals. “It’s very clear we’re seeing a bump. How high the bump will go, we’re only going to know over the next several weeks,” said Dr. Daniel Kuritzkes, Who can profit from Omicron chief of infectious disease at Brigham and Women’s Hospital. “Even if you look at the national data on the CDC trend map, it’s showing an uptick now in cases nationwide that’s really being led by the increase in cases in the Northeast. We can probably look forward to a further increase in cases in Massachusetts.”
Software maker Synopsys gained 4.6% after also giving investors an encouraging profit forecast. The subsequent losses for stocks Tuesday were widespread, with all but seven stocks in the S&P 500 ending lower. The benchmark index sank 2.3% Friday for its worst loss for February, only to rise 1.3% Monday as investors reconsidered whether the reaction was overdone, before giving way to Tuesday’s loss.
Omicron Hammers Consumer Firms With Profit Warnings Piling Up
Many investors see that narrowed gap as meaning the bond market has less confidence in the economy’s long-term strength. If it were to flip, with short-term yields rising above long-term yields, many investors see that as a semi-reliable predictor of a recession. But low rates can also encourage inflation, which is already high across the global economy. Powell acknowledged in his testimony before Congress that inflation has been worse and lasted longer than the Fed expected.
American Airlines climbed 6.5%, while Delta Air Lines rose 9.1%. Cruise line operators Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line jumped 9.4% and 6.8%, respectively. If omicron does ultimately do heavy damage to the global economy, it could put the Federal Reserve in a difficult spot. Usually, the central bank will lower interest rates, which encourages borrowers to spend more and investors to pay higher prices for stocks. Sherwin-Williams Co. said Friday that omicron led to “meaningful labor challenges” in December, including reduced staff availability and store hours in some locations. The paint company joins more than a half-dozen others across consumer-facing industries that have blamed profit warnings this week on the highly contagious variant and cautioned about what lies ahead.
But home building has cooled since peak pandemic, while rising costs for materials like lumber have pushed homebuilders to raise prices. We’ll see if that bruised Toll when it reports earnings tomorrow. Travel-related companies, which got hammered earlier this week as worries about the new coronavirus variant swept markets, rebounded Thursday.
All of the key performance metrics increased from January, after concerns around Omicron pushed levels lower. In October, Ackman gave a presentation before the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, calling for the central bank to “taper immediately and begin raising rates as soon as possible” in order to rein in surging inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 1.45% from 1.43% late Wednesday. That said, as you go further back, you run into other risks like earnings.
Smaller company stocks, which have lost the most ground this week, had some of the strongest gains, sending the Russell 2000 index 2.8% higher. Crude oil prices rose after OPEC decided to maintain its production levels. One signal in the bond market was also flashing some concern about the economy’s prospects.
Omicron May Spread 2x Faster Than Delta, Scientists Say
That rapid growth in subvariant cases is part of a trend of increasing cases in the state of Massachusetts. State health officials reported almost 2,000 new COVID-19 cases Wednesday and one new death. The state’s seven-day average positivity rate rose to 3.48% Wednesday, compared to 3.42% on Tuesday. Thank you for your interest in supporting Kaiser Health News , the nation’s leading nonprofit newsroom focused on health and health policy.